Testing Goodwin with a Stochastic Differential Approach – The United States (1948 – 2017)

The goal of this paper is to propose and test stochastic differential equations for Goodwin’s model and one of its extension by using an estimation technique based on simulated maximum likelihood developed by Durham and Gallant (2002)

Presentations of the third workshop on sustainable mobility

La Chaire Energie et Prospérité a organisé son troisième workshop sur la mobilité durable les 9 et 10 novembre 2017. Retrouvez dans cet article un résumé des interventions (en anglais) ainsi que toutes les présentations réalisées pendant le workshop.

Stagflation and the crossroad in macroeconomics: the struggle between structural and New Classical macroeconometrics

The article studies the 1978 macroeconomics conference titled “After the Phillips Curve”, where Lucas and Sargent presented their fierce attack against structural macroeconometric models, “After Keynesian Macroeconomics”. It aims at enlarging the comprehension of changes in macroeconomics in the 1970s.

Vidéo de la conférence « Système financier et transition énergétique : quelle stratégie pour la finance verte ? »

En amont du sommet climat qui se tiendra à Paris le 12 décembre 2017, France Stratégie et la Chaire Énergie et Prospérité ont organisé une table-ronde sur la contribution que le système financier peut apporter à la transition énergétique et la stabilisation du climat. Visionnez la vidéo avec les interventions de Laurent Clerc (Banque de France), Pierre Ducret (I4CE, CDC), Alain Grandjean (Carbone 4), Tim Jackson (Surrey University) et Sylvie Lemmet (Cour des Comptes).

Using Output-Based Allocations to Manage Volatility and Leakage in Pollution Markets

Output-based allocations (OBAs) are typically used in emission trading schemes to mitigate leakage in sectors at risk. Recent work has shown they may also help to stabilize prices in markets subject to supply and demand shocks. We extend previous work to simultaneously include both leakage and volatility.

Output-based allocations in pollution markets with uncertainty and self-selection

The paper studies pollution permit markets in which a fraction of permits are allocated to firms based on their output. Output-based allocations, which are receiving increasing attention in the design of carbon markets around the world are shown to be optimal under demand and supply volatility despite the output distortions they may create. 

Debt and Investment in the Keen model: a Reappraisal of Modeling Minsky

We examine to which extent the Keen model (Keen 1995) is a faithful modelling of Minsky’s Finance. We conclude that the Keen crisis has few Minskian flavours.

Global trends in metal consumption and supply element: the raw material–energy nexus

The consumption of mineral resources and energy has increased exponentially over the last 100 years. Further growth is expected until at least the middle of the 21st century. In order to meet this demand, more metals will have to be produced by 2050 than over the last 100 years, which raises questions about the sustainability and conditions of supply.

Quelle mobilité pour la transition énergétique ? – Cahier de l’Institut Louis Bachelier

Réalisé avec Jean-Pierre Ponssard, le Cahier de l’ILB est consacré à la mobilité durable. Il  aborde des sujets aussi divers que l’impact des restriction de conduite sur la pollution urbaine, l’intérêt du véhicules à hydrogène ou l’importance des régulations pour développer l’innovation en matière de mobilité.

Coupled Climate–Economy–Biosphere (CoCEB) model – Part 2: Combining deforestation control with carbon capture and storage technologies

This study uses the global climate–economy–biosphere (CoCEB) model formulated in Part 1 to investigate economic aspects of deforestation control and carbon sequestration in forests, as well as the efficiency of carbon capture and storage (CCS) technologies as policy measures for climate change mitigation.