Article published in Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science – September 2017
Common dynamical properties of business cycle fluctuations are studied in a sample of more than 100 countries that represent economic regions from all around the world. We apply the methodology of multivariate singular spectrum analysis (M-SSA) to identify oscillatory modes and to detect whether these modes are shared by clusters of phase- and frequency-locked oscillators. An extension of the M-SSA approach is introduced to help analyze structural changes in the cluster configuration of synchronization. With this novel technique, we are able to identify a common mode of business cycle activity across our sample, and thus point to the existence of a world business cycle. Superimposed on this mode, we further identify several major events that have markedly influenced the landscape of world economic activity in the postwar era.
Cette 13ème session du séminaire Financement de la transition énergétique se penchera sur les évolutions du cadre prudentiel qui permettraient de mieux prendre en compte le risque climatique et defavoriser les investissements de transition.
Intervention de Michael Thornton (University of York) au Séminaire de Recherche de la Chaire Energie et Prospérité le 25 janvier 2019.